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Oversold CTEL rocks the house

(1 - user rating)
Oversold CTEL rocks the house

March 19, 2010 (Chinavestor) Shares of City Telecom (H.K.) Ltd. (NASDAQ:CTEL) advanced +18.9% by 11:15 A.M. on Friday reaching $14.61, an all time high. While this may come as a surprise to many, Chinavestor's overbought and oversold indicator predicted a rally, even if the magnitude was unexpected. We said earlier this week on March 16, 2010 Tuesday that "On the oversold end City Telecom (NASDAQ:CTEL) and WuXCi Pharmatech (NYSE:WX) became oversold and are ready to bounce back up." Overbought China stocks falter.

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CSKI falls on earnings - but wait a minute!

CSKI falls on earnings - but wait a minute!

March 18, 2010 (Chinavestor) Shares of China Sky One Medical Inc. (NASDAQ:CSKI) fell -15.2% on Wednesday following worse-than-expected financials. Both revenues and earnings came below expectations and increased revenue and earnings guidance couldn't convince investors that a heavy sell-off was not justified.

But if investors pay close attention to the chart below, some very important details develop. For one, the business has always been cyclical for China Sky One Medical (NASDAQ:CSKI). First and last quarter have been historically low while the second and third make up for most of the profit and revenue growth. If investors take this seasonality effect into account, the picture is not as bad.

Secondly, the company issued a strong, +20% revenue and earnings growth for 2010. This is more than most Chinese companies have done. And by looking at the price chart over the last five years in comparison to the revenue and earnings growth history, we found a hidden gem!

It looks like investors sold off China Sky One Medical (NASDAQ:CSKI) on a disappointment that was driven by high expectations. Based on the historically impressive revenue and earnings growth - with an in-line guidance for 2010, CSKI looks like a stock to own.

Don't panic FUQI investor

(9 - user rating)
Don't panic FUQI investor

March 17, 2010 (Chinavestor) When a small cap Chinese ADR restates earnings and not just one but three of them, investors get nervous. So the -36% drop in the share price of Fuqi International (NASDAQ:FUQI) today is not out of proportion - at least for the first sight. We all remember to the similar effect that devastated the stock price of 51job Inc. (NASDAQ:JOBS) back in December 2004 - the stock has never regained her former glory.

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Risk increases for CFSG as earnings disappoint but outlook sweetens

(3 - user rating)
Risk increases for CFSG as earnings disappoint but outlook sweetens

March 17, 2010 (Chinavestor) Shares of Chinese fire protection equipment maker, China Fire & Security Group (NASDAQ:CFSG), have been trading in a wide range following 2009 full year and fourth quarter results. Shares of the company fell -8.3% on Tuesday but bounced back up +3.5% after 30 minutes of trading on Wednesday as investors are trying to get a good reading on the latest financial report.

Part of the problem is that while revenues and earnings fell for the last quarter, the company issued an extremely bullish forward looking statement by reaffirming ~72% revenue growth for 2010 full-year (FY) and a ~97% net income growth 2010 FY.

Devil is always in the details. The company says most of the decline in revenues and net income is a result of a "delay in the signing and executing of the previously announced $92 million retrofitting contract with Wuhan Iron and Steel (Group) Corporation ("Wuhan Iron and Steel")". If this is the case, the $92 million top line item would certainly make bullish outlook within the reach of the company.

Most of the bottom line weakness, e.g. disappointing net income for the fourth quarter, is explained by the decline in revenues. Should China Fire & Security Group (NASDAQ:CSFG) lock in the contract with Wuhan Iron and Steel and incorporate those revenues into its financial statements, current stock price looks low. But should the deal fell apart expect additional significant losses in stock price of the company. This is a high risk - high return situation at its best.

Global Sources 2009 Q4 rocks!

(1 - user rating)
Global Sources 2009 Q4 rocks!

March 15, 2010 (Chinavestor) Shares of business-to-business company, Global Sources (NASDAQ:GSOL), advanced 7.5% to $7.04 today following 2009 fourth quarter and full year earnings release. The company reported total revenues of $54.893 million, a significant drop from same period last year, yet above previous estimates of $53.35 million. Not only did revenues exceed lowered expectations but the company reported record net profit of $8.585 million.

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