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What if technicals drive the market?

What if technicals drive the market?

March 2012 (Chinavestor) Investors wonder where the ceiling may be for stocks now that the Dow Jones Industrial Average (INDEXDJX:.DJI) broke through the 13,000 level for the first time since 2008. Before you label me bearish, let me remind investors to what I just said in January and February. The January Newsletter, titled “Uncertainty creates opportunity”, suggested that despite all the bloom and gloom, short term outlook is actually not all that bad. And January turned to be one for the record books, registering the best first month performance in the last 15 years.

Then came around February when we said that “bull markets climb a wall of worry”, suggesting that despite all the uncertainty, there is more upside left. And as a testimony to our belief, we left highly volatile Trina Solar (NYSE:TSL) in the portfolio for February. That move turned to be highly profitable especially if subscribers followed our advice to sell it above $10 on February 9, 2012.

 

But we are of a view that things have changed. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (INDEXDJX:.DJI) rose just shy of 3% in February and is up 6.4% year-to-date (YTD). And if that looks to be excessive, how about a 17.0% rise for Hong Kong’s most liquid index, the the Hang Seng Index (INDEXHANGSENG:.HSI)? That number dwarfs a 11.5% jump for the Shanghai Composite Index (SHA:000001) as well as the8.3% rise for the China ADR Index. But investors shouldn’t be fooled.
Before we continue, stocks of interest mentioned in this issue include Baidu.com Inc. (NASDAQ:BIDU), Sina Corp. (NASDAQ:SINA) and 51job Inc. (NASDAQ:JOBS), among others.
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One thing is certain: uncertainty remains

One thing is certain: uncertainty remains February 2012 (Chinavestor) Many of you may recall our carefully optimistic view of the current year. We argued that bull markets climb a wall of worry and as such investors should be on a lookout. A...
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Uncertainty creates opportunity for 2012

Uncertainty creates opportunity for 2012 January, 2012 (Chinavestor)  I like to sum up what’s left behind and what’s coming up at the beginning of a new  year. One thing is certain, that uncertainty remains. The epicenter of economic...
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Hot China Stocks

Uncertainty creates opportunity for 2012

Uncertainty creates opportunity for 2012January 2012 (Chinavestor)  I like to sum up what’s left behind and what’s coming up at the beginning of a new year. One thing is certain, that uncertainty remains. The epicenter of economic tro...
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Europe keeps China stocks hostage

Europe keeps China stocks hostage December, 2011 (Chinavestor) For a pdf version, click here . What does it tell you about the uncertainty surrounding financial markets when European news move Chinese equities the most? Well, this ...
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