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Petrochina (PTR) became expensive

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oil_barrel1Petrochina Technical Analysis

A comparison based on P/E ratios between PTR and other competitors listed on the NYSE shows that it has a higher valuation.  This is a result of strong money flows  and not superior growth prospect for PTR. strong money flows in China are driving the Shanghai Composite Index <.SSEC> to new highs in 2009. Petrochina being an index super heavy weight along with Industrial and Commercial Bank of China, most of the hot money goes into Petrochina and ICBC.

 

 

PTR

XOM

BP

CHV

P/E (TTM)*

13.04

9.06

8.97

6.38

*Source: www.reuters.com

 

To get a better picture of the current valuation of PetroChina (HKG:0857)(NYSE:PTR)(SHA:601857) let's take a look at the 50 and 200 DMA along with the MACD.  Below is a chart showing PTR’s closing price against the 50 and the 200 DMA averages.  For the past thirty days, PTR’s price hovered above both averages.  However, it seems that the 50 DMA is catching up with the PTR’s price as shown by the chart.  This can indicate that the price is under pressure and downside risk is increasing.

PTR_technical_76

Examining the MACD chart shows a similar conclusion.  The MACD line is barely being positive by the end of the last trading days.  The signal line is also above the MACD line by the end of the recent trading session.  This lends further support to the possibility that stock price of PTR is expected to fall in the short term.



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