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 Monday, June 30, 2008
The rapid speed of globalization means English is becoming significantly important in people’s daily life. New Oriental’s major product such as English-language course and test-preparation courses right hit the target, since Chinese workforce puts an extremely high priority on education, and the fierce competition meant a rising demand on English education. Public schooling cannot keep up with the growing demand and people are turning to private educators to fill the void.
posted on 6/30/2008 11:38:35 AM (Eastern Daylight Time, UTC-04:00)  #    Comments [0] Trackback
 Friday, June 27, 2008
The ADS ratio of the Company has been changed from one ADS representing 50 H Shares to one ADS representing 10 H Shares. This ratio change was taken effect on 27 June 2008 (Eastern Standard Time). No additional H Shares will be issued by reason of this ratio change.
posted on 6/27/2008 8:22:25 AM (Eastern Daylight Time, UTC-04:00)  #    Comments [0] Trackback
The Company’s proposed profit distribution plan for the year 2007 was approved with a distribution of a cash dividend of RMB0.170 per share (including tax) to all of the Shareholders, totalling RMB836,100,000 (including tax) for the year 2007. To authorize the Board to issue additional H shares of the Company, during the relevant period, in an amount not exceeding 20% of the total issued H shares of the Company as at the date of this resolution and to make appropriate amendments to the Articles of Association accordingly, if necessary. 12. To authorize the Board to repurchase the H shares of the Company, during the relevant period, in an amount not exceeding 10% of the total issued H shares of the Company as at the date of this resolution and to make appropriate amendments to the Articles of Association accordingly, if necessary.
posted on 6/27/2008 8:17:01 AM (Eastern Daylight Time, UTC-04:00)  #    Comments [0] Trackback
 Thursday, June 26, 2008
There is not much to be happy for as far as Chinese stock trading goes today. Most of Chinese ADRs are giving up gains of previous days, such as Baidu.com after yesterday's $25 rally. As the following summary table shows, the China ADR index (CAI), a broad measure of the performance of Chinese ADRs, lost 23.48 points today and is down 25.8% year-to-date (YTD).
posted on 6/26/2008 11:19:54 AM (Eastern Daylight Time, UTC-04:00)  #    Comments [1] Trackback
 Wednesday, June 25, 2008
In this volatile environment looking for momentum stocks is important. here is a list of stocks that portray such momentum measured by their 10- and 30-day moving averages or DMAs. the following five stock have their 10-DMA surpass of their 30-DMA. On the flip side all their current price is BELOW 10-DMA, a sign that their current rally may have some to a temporary halt. Still, I think this table is good to look at and check on the stocks that might be of your interest.
posted on 6/25/2008 6:05:14 PM (Eastern Daylight Time, UTC-04:00)  #    Comments [0] Trackback
On 25 June 2008, BOC and BOCHK entered into a subordinated credit facility agreement pursuant to which BOC agreed to extend a €660,000,000 subordinated credit facility to BOCHK. The Subordinated Loan allows BOC to take advantage of its adequate capital to strengthen BOCHK’s capital base and to meet BOCHK’s business development needs.
posted on 6/25/2008 10:40:05 AM (Eastern Daylight Time, UTC-04:00)  #    Comments [0] Trackback
As at the record date (i.e. 23 May 2008), there were totally 12,055,383,440 shares of the Company entitled to attend the EGM and to vote for or against the resolution tabled thereat. Shareholders and authorized proxies holding an aggregate of 9,906,082,864 shares of the Company, representing 82.17% of the total shares of the Company, were present at the EGM. Holders of 580,467,886 H shares of the Company, through HKSCC (Nominees) Limited, appointed the chairman of the Meeting as their proxy to attend and vote on their behalf. Holders of 998,372,440 H shares of the Company, through HSBC Nominees (Hong Kong) Limited, appointed the chairman of the Meeting as their proxy to attend and vote on their behalf.
posted on 6/25/2008 10:37:10 AM (Eastern Daylight Time, UTC-04:00)  #    Comments [0] Trackback
 Tuesday, June 24, 2008
As the following table tracking top movers from the China ADR universe, Yanzhou Coal (YZC) - China's third largest and only U.S. listed coal miner - is taking the top spot. The stock is trading $2.30 higher vs. yesterday's close. Is it a technical rebound? Absolutely! How do we know? Check this out: Yanzhou Coal (YZC) : Is it oversold? - a post on this very same blog dated June 20, Friday. Here is the quote: "Going back ot Yanzhou Coal: a temporary freeze on coal prices means previous earnings calculations are off the window. So it's time to readjust YZC to new regulations.
posted on 6/24/2008 12:05:27 PM (Eastern Daylight Time, UTC-04:00)  #    Comments [0] Trackback
As at the record date (i.e. 23 May 2008), there were totally 12,055,383,440 shares of the Company entitled to attend the EGM and to vote for or against the resolution tabled thereat. Shareholders and authorized proxies holding an aggregate of 9,906,082,864 shares of the Company, representing 82.17% of the total shares of the Company, were present at the EGM. Holders of 580,467,886 H shares of the Company, through HKSCC (Nominees) Limited, appointed the chairman of the Meeting as their proxy to attend and vote on their behalf. Holders of 998,372,440 H shares of the Company, through HSBC Nominees (Hong Kong) Limited, appointed the chairman of the Meeting as their proxy to attend and vote on their behalf.
posted on 6/24/2008 8:13:02 AM (Eastern Daylight Time, UTC-04:00)  #    Comments [0] Trackback
 Monday, June 23, 2008
Large cap Chinese ADRs helped lifting the China ADR index (CAI) by 3.96 points. Still, the index lost a quarter of her value since the beginning of 2008 and jittery market conditions in the U.S. keep pressure on Chinese stocks. Couple of stock of interest: Aluminum corp. of China (ACH). The stock lost another -2.54% today on weak outlook. Today's performance came as no surprise to us, because events just unfolded as we predicted it on last Saturday. Here is the actual posting on the blog from last week
posted on 6/23/2008 7:02:55 PM (Eastern Daylight Time, UTC-04:00)  #    Comments [0] Trackback
Shares of Chinese companies listed in the U.S. opened mixed to day after steep losses in last week. oil compnies are in focus again. China's offshore specialist, CNOOC Ltd. (CEO), is enjoying a ride on the back of strong oil prices. The stock is up $4.25 or 2.68% at the open. High oil prices hurt refiners. Asia's largest refiner, Sinopec (SNP) opened -0.23 percent lower while Petrochina (PTR), China's largest oil produceer with a significant refining on its own, opened -0.65 percent lower. China's decision to increase gasoline and diesel retail prices last week sent prices of refiners out the roof just to see them tumbling the next day. Overall SNP and PTR are trading sideways signalling as if the markets haven't figured out what to make out of the price increae combined with record oil prices yet. SNP is red while PTR is blue on the following chart.
posted on 6/23/2008 10:07:51 AM (Eastern Daylight Time, UTC-04:00)  #    Comments [0] Trackback
Unicom and Netcom have applied to the Executive for its consent to extend the date of despatch of the Scheme Document to a date no later than 16 September 2008. Unicom has also applied to the Hong Kong Stock Exchange for an extension of time for the despatch of the Circular, which is proposed to be despatched at the same time as the Scheme Document, to a date no later than 16 September 2008.
posted on 6/23/2008 8:36:05 AM (Eastern Daylight Time, UTC-04:00)  #    Comments [0] Trackback
 Saturday, June 21, 2008
Shares of Chinese ADRs followed suit tracking Wall Street lower this week. As the following table sums it all up, Chinese ADRs fell -4.2% this week, on average. Losers outnumbered stocks that closed higher for the week by 35 to 11.
posted on 6/21/2008 5:35:39 PM (Eastern Daylight Time, UTC-04:00)  #    Comments [0] Trackback
 Friday, June 20, 2008
A temporary freeze on coal prices means previous earnings calculations are off the window. So it's time to readjust YZC to new regulations. Going back to the original question, if YZC is oversold - the answer is YES! With that in mind a technical correction could swing back YZC $5-$6 next trading day. However given current negative market sentiment, a sentiment that is most likely to spill over to Asia on Monday, investors may have to wait until Tuesday to short all YZC holdings.
posted on 6/20/2008 1:14:19 PM (Eastern Daylight Time, UTC-04:00)  #    Comments [0] Trackback
We just argued yesterday that unless you acted on time, you missed out the opportunity. Shares of Chinese oil refining related companies have started to rise last week before the news of gasoline and diesel price increase broke out yesterday. As the following Google finance screenshot testifies, shares of Asia's largest refiner by capacity, Sinopec (SNP), rose 18.05% followed by the polyethylene and propylene producer Sinopec Shanghai Petrochemical (SHI). Petrochina, China's largest oil company with significant refining capacity rose 7.67% during the last five days.
posted on 6/20/2008 10:03:38 AM (Eastern Daylight Time, UTC-04:00)  #    Comments [0] Trackback
Since early 2008, the frozen weather and snow storms in most of the Southern, Northwestern and Southwestern parts of China had resulted in power supply shortage, resulting in temporary complete stoppage of production of certain enterprises of the Company, thereby affecting our production operations. Price hikes of raw materials and fuels including energy also increased our production cost noticeably as compared with the same period last year which led to the decrease in profits.
posted on 6/20/2008 8:27:03 AM (Eastern Daylight Time, UTC-04:00)  #    Comments [0] Trackback
 Thursday, June 19, 2008
Shares of Chinese oil companies are leading Chinese ADRs today on news that Beijing will increase price of refined oil and electricity. Shares of China's largest oil company by market value, Petrochina (PTR), jumped $9.78 or 7.27 percent by 11:00 followed closely by Sinopec (SNP) and China's largest independent electricity provider, Huaneng Power (HNP).
posted on 6/19/2008 12:26:46 PM (Eastern Daylight Time, UTC-04:00)  #    Comments [0] Trackback
We took the risk to say a month ago that “we think Chinese equities are nearing the bottom. Looking at Asia and China in particular, we find both macro and micro economic data to fuel our optimism. “ Since then the China ADR Index (CAI) rallied 7.5% in line with the Hang Seng’s 7.0% comeback, outshining the Shanghai Composite’s modest 3.7% rally. Have Chinese equities bottomed out?
posted on 6/19/2008 10:53:45 AM (Eastern Daylight Time, UTC-04:00)  #    Comments [0] Trackback
 Wednesday, June 18, 2008
LFC tripled its net profits in 2007, gaining most from the rise of equity markets, however the capital market downturn in 2008 has significantly shrunk LFC’s net profits. This has made LFC’s generic growth a key determinant to its prospects. In 2008, LFC generated a considerably increased premium income as a result of promotion of participating products and increased demand for insurance protection. This can be due to increasing awareness of insurance protection after consecutive occurrence of the natural disasters. In addition to the limited negative impacts of the earthquake, combined with a concern about the uncertainly of equity market performance, and we recommend...(you have to subscribe for premium content)
posted on 6/18/2008 1:52:05 PM (Eastern Daylight Time, UTC-04:00)  #    Comments [0] Trackback
 Tuesday, June 17, 2008
Stock markets in the U.S. continued to slug: inflation concerns and high oil kept pressure on equity markets. Tuesday's economic data illustrated how the steep run-up in energy costs this year is affecting businesses. The Labor Department data showed that producer price index jumped 1.4 percent in May, the largest increase since last November. The DJIA shed 108.78 points. The S&P 500 index, a measure of the broader market, fell 9.21 points to 1,350.93, while the Nasdaq composite index fell 17.05, or 0.69 percent, to 2,457.73.
posted on 6/17/2008 9:29:54 PM (Eastern Daylight Time, UTC-04:00)  #    Comments [0] Trackback
 Monday, June 16, 2008
China's largest coal miner by output reported a 13.3% increase in commercial coal production in May 2008 from a year ago. Export of Chinese coal came to a standstill in 2007 as China is struggling to feed its growing electricity demand. Nearly two-thirds of Chinese electricity is generated by unsing coal fired power plans. The winter storm related coal supply shortages just highlightened the problems facing both the cola nad the power generating industry.
posted on 6/16/2008 12:05:09 PM (Eastern Daylight Time, UTC-04:00)  #    Comments [0] Trackback
 Saturday, June 14, 2008
We published a list of chinese stocks last week. The criteria we used was very simple: if 10 DMA was above 30DMA, a stock qualified. The result is not too rosy: stocks on average lost -6.5% between 6/6 - 6/13. Well, it is also noteable that last week was a bloodbath for Chinese stocks not just in the U.S. but worldwide. The Hang Seng Index in hog Kong lost 1,810 points from 24,402.18 points to 22,592.30. This is a 7.4% drop just in one week!
posted on 6/14/2008 11:18:10 AM (Eastern Daylight Time, UTC-04:00)  #    Comments [0] Trackback
 Tuesday, June 10, 2008
As resolved at the annual general meeting of the Company convened on 9 May 2008, it was approved to issue medium-term bonds with a total principal amount of not less than RMB3 billion and not more than RMB10 billion (the “Medium-term Bonds”). Pursuant to the approval granted by the National Association of Financial Market Institutional Investors on 22 May 2008, the Company may issue medium-term bonds with a total principal amount of up to RMB10 billion in the People’s Republic of China by various tranches effective on or before 20 May 2010.
posted on 6/10/2008 3:47:07 PM (Eastern Daylight Time, UTC-04:00)  #    Comments [0] Trackback
Last week we published a study that looked at 10- and 30-day moving averages and their crossing patterns to find momentum stocks. We continue with some technical analysis today by introducing the Overbought/Oversold techincal indicator. The one we use gives investors a gauge of the market in a snapshot by laying down all Chinese ADRs on a single paper. This method makes it very easy to find stocks that are out of their normal trading characteristics; thus offering trading opportunities.
posted on 6/10/2008 9:39:31 AM (Eastern Daylight Time, UTC-04:00)  #    Comments [0] Trackback
 Monday, June 09, 2008
From the annual income statement, Chalco achieved major improvement in revenue, increasing from 37,826.5 million RMB in 2005 to 76,180.4 million in 2007. This significant increase was mainly due to its several acquisitions during 2006 and increasing global commodity price. The acquisitions increased the production capacity dramatically. Total revenue had increased 17.5% from 2006 to 2007. However, as the continuing strong demand from Asian countries especially from China had been pushing the sales price up, the global oil price had increased as well to push up the cost of the industry. Specifically, Chalco’s cost of revenue went up from 43,930.7 million in 2006 to 57,197.5 million in 2007, representing a 30% jump. The significant increase in cost resulted in the net income had dropped 15.6% from 11,726.5 million to 9,899.6 million. In addition, gross profit margin dropping from 32.2% in 2006 to 24.9% in 2007. Also, operating profit margin and net profit margin decreased 7.68% and 5.09% respectively during the period from 2006 to 2007.
posted on 6/9/2008 4:23:49 PM (Eastern Daylight Time, UTC-04:00)  #    Comments [0] Trackback
 Saturday, June 07, 2008
A very dear Chinavestor client has been encouraging me to develop a filter that tracks 10-DMA and 30-DMA for Chinese ADRs and keeps track of the developemnt of such values. All basic and advanced technical tools widely used by the small investor comunity can draw charts to display the divergence between the two indicators. But the problem is that if someone wants to gauge all Chinese ADRs in the market, it takes time to visually observes each chart.
posted on 6/7/2008 4:45:28 PM (Eastern Daylight Time, UTC-04:00)  #    Comments [0] Trackback
 Friday, June 06, 2008
Wall Street saw better days then today. The DJIA is down over 300 points on high unemployment rate and record oil, approaching $150 a barrel. No wonder, shares of U.S. listed Chinese companies, or ADRs, follow suit measured by the broad China ADR Index or CAI. As the following table demonstrates, Chinese ADRs lost 3.41% today however there is a significant difference between NYSE and NASDAQ listed ADRs. While index heavy NYSE listed China stocks lost ground, measured by the China NYSE Index (CYI), NASDAQ listed Chinese ADRs hold ground thanks to a superb performance of NetEase (NTES), The9 and some solar companies.
posted on 6/6/2008 3:43:44 PM (Eastern Daylight Time, UTC-04:00)  #    Comments [0] Trackback
 Thursday, June 05, 2008
Price of Aluminium Corp. of China (NYSE:ACH) is down 18% year-to-date. This should not surprise many as the company reported weak 2007 Q4 and an even worse 2008 Q1 financial results. The company had to tap into short term borrowings of RMB 4.7bln in order to keep cash flow position stable. However this took a hit on liquidity measures. Underlying reason is overcapacity of alumina. For additional info, read the following story.
posted on 6/5/2008 3:44:49 PM (Eastern Daylight Time, UTC-04:00)  #    Comments [0] Trackback
 Wednesday, June 04, 2008
The underlying reason for the drop is very simple. The company announced in a statement that the provincial government of Shandong, where Yanzhou Coal is headquartered, had introduced a temporary price cut for thermal coal in the next three months. The argument goes that the provincial government wants to secure electricity production for the upcoming summer months when demand peaks. We saw Huaneng Power (NYSE:HNP), China's largest independent power generator, to report an 80% drop in first quarter profits due to high coal prices. The problem is that state-set power prices have not been increased since June 2006. Some fear that high coal prices prevent local power generators to stock up coal before the peak summer season, endangering smooth power supply.
posted on 6/4/2008 12:27:02 PM (Eastern Daylight Time, UTC-04:00)  #    Comments [0] Trackback
We have noted the recent decrease in the price of the H shares of the Company today and wish to state that we are not aware of any reasons for such decrease. We also confirm that there are no other negotiations or agreements relating to intended acquisitions or realizations which are discloseable under Rule 13.23 of the Rules Governing the Listing of Securities on The Stock Exchange of Hong Kong Limited (the “Listing Rules”), neither is the board of
posted on 6/4/2008 8:14:36 AM (Eastern Daylight Time, UTC-04:00)  #    Comments [0] Trackback
 Tuesday, June 03, 2008
The Company estimates that the 2008 Coal Export Contract will result in an increase in the Company’s revenue by RMB224.93 million for the year ending 31 December 2008, representing 1.4% of the revenue of the Company for the year ended 31 December 2007. This announcement is made pursuant to Rule 13.09(1) and 13.09(2) of the Rules Governing the Listing of Securities on the Stock Exchange of Hong Kong Limited.
posted on 6/3/2008 3:58:06 PM (Eastern Daylight Time, UTC-04:00)  #    Comments [0] Trackback
 Monday, June 02, 2008
The boards of directors of Unicom and Netcom refer to (1) the Announcement on Deepening the Reform of the Structure of the Telecommunications Sector dated 24 May 2008 jointly issued by the Ministry of Industry and Information, the National Development and Reform Commission and the Ministry of Finance of the PRC which states, among other things, that the PRC government will deepen the reform of the structure of the telecommunications sector, and encourage the formation of three market competitors where each has nationwide network resources, relatively comparable strength and scale, as well as full service operation capabilities, that the allocation of telecommunications resources will be further optimized and the competition structure will be improved, and that three 3G licences will be granted once the contemplated restructuring is completed, and (2) the announcements issued by Unicom and Netcom on 25 May 2008.
posted on 6/2/2008 4:02:10 PM (Eastern Daylight Time, UTC-04:00)  #    Comments [0] Trackback
Chalco did not perform well in sales in the first quarter 2008. Its gross margin only reached 19% compared to yearly gross margin of 25% as of 31 December 2007. The declining trend had begun in the second-half of 2007 from which aluminum price in China declined and raw material costs increased. Company had been boosting output for the purpose of taking advantage of lower product price, but objectively suffered pressure on increased raw material price, power and transportation cost. By March 2008, quarterly net profit dropped to 1.3 billion yuan which is only 58% of the third quarterly net profit in 2007. Total cost of revenue, however, increased by 5% accompanied declining sales in the same period.
posted on 6/2/2008 5:30:46 AM (Eastern Daylight Time, UTC-04:00)  #    Comments [0] Trackback