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 Tuesday, September 23, 2008
Wall Street failed to gain traction as the DJIA shed another 161.52 points to finish at 10,854.17. As investors digested the bail out plan and weighted down large caps, Chinese ADRs could not escape the fray. The market cap weighted China ADR Index (CAI) lost 28.42 points today and is down 37.50% YTD. Smaller cap NASDAQ listed China stocks did much better, shedding only 18.19 points. The China NASDAQ Index (CQI) is down 24.92% YTD.
posted on 9/23/2008 7:30:45 PM (Eastern Daylight Time, UTC-04:00)  #    Comments [0] Trackback
China stocks are on the retreat along the U.S. Here are the headlines before the market opens: China shares retreat after 2-day rally HK shares drop 4 pct on US concern; Mengniu dives China should consider more Wall Street buys Microsoft cuts prices in China to fight piracy PetroChina's parent buys back shares, pledges more
posted on 9/23/2008 6:41:44 AM (Eastern Daylight Time, UTC-04:00)  #    Comments [0] Trackback
 Monday, September 22, 2008
The Ctrip.com International Ltd. has continued to lead the travel service industry in China with its special combination of traditional and online methods. Strong revenue and net income growth was generated through effective cost control and excellent management. Strong economy and further improvement of the internet service in China has created strong demand for Ctrip's service thus bringing a promising outlook for both the industry and the company. Total revenue for Ctrip increased 53.7% in 2007 on a year-to-year basis and gross margin was as high as 77.3%. While net income increased 65.4% with a net profit margin of 33.2%. On the other hand, costs were effectively controlled to support its significant growth. Operating expenses were kept nearly consistent at 66% of total revenue during the period from 2003 to 2007.
posted on 9/22/2008 1:48:02 PM (Eastern Daylight Time, UTC-04:00)  #    Comments [0] Trackback
It's 11:00 A.M. on Monday and is a good time to take a deep breath and see what lays ahead today's trading for Chinese ADRs. For starters, energy pulled the broad Hang Seng Index up 1.6% after Friday's record 9.2% rally. Petrochina (PTR) had a strong showing closing 5.1% higher on the back of strong oil. So today's gain of $2.44 on the NYSE comes as no surprise. Aluminum Corp. of China (ACH) is strong today on news that the company is not considering cutting additional production despite low aluminum prices.
posted on 9/22/2008 11:56:14 AM (Eastern Daylight Time, UTC-04:00)  #    Comments [0] Trackback
 Saturday, September 20, 2008
What a week we had! We woke up on Monday to see Lehman go under along Merrill - though this latter was better off by selling herself to Bank of America. Then we learned that AIG may be next unless it can raise significant amount of capital ASAP. So Monday was a disaster.
posted on 9/20/2008 5:16:44 PM (Eastern Daylight Time, UTC-04:00)  #    Comments [0] Trackback
 Friday, September 19, 2008
Wall Street continued yesterday's rally by adding another 400+ points before 10:00 A.M. on Friday. Strong market sentiment carried over to Chinese ADRs, too. Stocks that were hit the hardest came back real strong this morning. CNOOC Ltd. (CEO), China's top off-shore oil producer, is up $12.73 followed closely by Sinopec (SNP) and Petrochina (PTR). Another huge company, China Mobile (CHL) is strong and is up $4.90 in the first few minutes of trading. Europe's largest bank, HSBC Plc (HBC) is up $4.78 or 6.01%.
posted on 9/19/2008 10:05:55 AM (Eastern Daylight Time, UTC-04:00)  #    Comments [0] Trackback
Estimates are re-do going with following assumptions: 1. Sales growth rate at 32% per 3 months. This rate is derived from corresponding increasing rate in 2007. 2. Profit margin is set at 6%, which is the same as that for the second quarter 2008. Be honest, I incline to make this assumption conservative for that I think if this company doesn't do any improvement at its management, its profitability could not be improved!
posted on 9/19/2008 8:38:03 AM (Eastern Daylight Time, UTC-04:00)  #    Comments [0] Trackback
The latest quarterly report from STP (ending 20/06/08) displays a strong revenue growth from $434,514 thousand to $480,179 thousand, or 10.51% (9.3% for last Quarter). According to the market information , majority of analysts believe such favorable result may be attributed to following factors:
posted on 9/19/2008 8:34:56 AM (Eastern Daylight Time, UTC-04:00)  #    Comments [0] Trackback
 Thursday, September 18, 2008
Chinese companies listed in American exchanges plunged on Wednesday tracking the DJIA down. As the following chart reveals, the wide China ADR Index (CAI) lost 44.3% year-to-date (YTD) thanks to the free fall of large cap Chinese companies.
posted on 9/18/2008 10:01:29 AM (Eastern Daylight Time, UTC-04:00)  #    Comments [0] Trackback
 Wednesday, September 17, 2008
Another sad day. Landscape of the bloodbath... Reading of Chinese ADRs right before 2:00 P.M.
posted on 9/17/2008 2:18:32 PM (Eastern Daylight Time, UTC-04:00)  #    Comments [0] Trackback
 Tuesday, September 16, 2008
As widely predicted, yesterday was a bloodbath. The Dow fell over 500 points - some historians will put this into perspective - and Chinese ADRs fell just as hard. One company that looks good for today is China's largest independent power generator: Hunaneg Power (HNP). Falling energy prices help HNP to get back to the black and based on preliminary calculation HNP is getting there. Actually HNP is the only company that looks better than last week - using our Overbought/Oversold indicator. And here is a snapshot of yesterday's China stock landscape.
posted on 9/16/2008 8:11:06 AM (Eastern Daylight Time, UTC-04:00)  #    Comments [0] Trackback
 Monday, September 15, 2008
Here is the map of today's bloodbath. As predicted, CNOOC Ltd. (CEO) is hit the hardest - ADR lost $7.35 by mid afternoon. As we predicted in the morning before the bell, Chinese solar companies plunged, too. We argued that the sector is considered risky based on trading characteristics - and the fall of TSL, SDK and JASO clearly underlines our uneasiness of the sector.
posted on 9/15/2008 2:33:31 PM (Eastern Daylight Time, UTC-04:00)  #    Comments [0] Trackback
Another weekend of fast action. Lehman goes under along Merrill, AIG seeks capital. Bank of America's take over of Merrill feels somewhat better to me. Freddie and Fannie government takeover is still fresh - one may ask: where are we heading? Or when it comes to Chinese equities, where is the bottom? Finding clues where Chinese stocks are heading today from Asian trading is not going to work. Public holiday closed down China's main exchanges on Monday. Chinese share listed in Shanghai are already at 22 months lows while Hong Kong listed H-shares are not much better but today's crash in DJIA futures hasn't shown in Asian trading.
posted on 9/15/2008 9:28:56 AM (Eastern Daylight Time, UTC-04:00)  #    Comments [0] Trackback