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 Saturday, June 21, 2008
Shares of Chinese ADRs followed suit tracking Wall Street lower this week. As the following table sums it all up, Chinese ADRs fell -4.2% this week, on average. Losers outnumbered stocks that closed higher for the week by 35 to 11.
posted on 6/21/2008 5:35:39 PM (Eastern Daylight Time, UTC-04:00)  #    Comments [0] Trackback
 Friday, June 20, 2008
A temporary freeze on coal prices means previous earnings calculations are off the window. So it's time to readjust YZC to new regulations. Going back to the original question, if YZC is oversold - the answer is YES! With that in mind a technical correction could swing back YZC $5-$6 next trading day. However given current negative market sentiment, a sentiment that is most likely to spill over to Asia on Monday, investors may have to wait until Tuesday to short all YZC holdings.
posted on 6/20/2008 1:14:19 PM (Eastern Daylight Time, UTC-04:00)  #    Comments [0] Trackback
We just argued yesterday that unless you acted on time, you missed out the opportunity. Shares of Chinese oil refining related companies have started to rise last week before the news of gasoline and diesel price increase broke out yesterday. As the following Google finance screenshot testifies, shares of Asia's largest refiner by capacity, Sinopec (SNP), rose 18.05% followed by the polyethylene and propylene producer Sinopec Shanghai Petrochemical (SHI). Petrochina, China's largest oil company with significant refining capacity rose 7.67% during the last five days.
posted on 6/20/2008 10:03:38 AM (Eastern Daylight Time, UTC-04:00)  #    Comments [0] Trackback
Since early 2008, the frozen weather and snow storms in most of the Southern, Northwestern and Southwestern parts of China had resulted in power supply shortage, resulting in temporary complete stoppage of production of certain enterprises of the Company, thereby affecting our production operations. Price hikes of raw materials and fuels including energy also increased our production cost noticeably as compared with the same period last year which led to the decrease in profits.
posted on 6/20/2008 8:27:03 AM (Eastern Daylight Time, UTC-04:00)  #    Comments [0] Trackback
 Thursday, June 19, 2008
Shares of Chinese oil companies are leading Chinese ADRs today on news that Beijing will increase price of refined oil and electricity. Shares of China's largest oil company by market value, Petrochina (PTR), jumped $9.78 or 7.27 percent by 11:00 followed closely by Sinopec (SNP) and China's largest independent electricity provider, Huaneng Power (HNP).
posted on 6/19/2008 12:26:46 PM (Eastern Daylight Time, UTC-04:00)  #    Comments [0] Trackback
We took the risk to say a month ago that “we think Chinese equities are nearing the bottom. Looking at Asia and China in particular, we find both macro and micro economic data to fuel our optimism. “ Since then the China ADR Index (CAI) rallied 7.5% in line with the Hang Seng’s 7.0% comeback, outshining the Shanghai Composite’s modest 3.7% rally. Have Chinese equities bottomed out?
posted on 6/19/2008 10:53:45 AM (Eastern Daylight Time, UTC-04:00)  #    Comments [0] Trackback
 Wednesday, June 18, 2008
LFC tripled its net profits in 2007, gaining most from the rise of equity markets, however the capital market downturn in 2008 has significantly shrunk LFC’s net profits. This has made LFC’s generic growth a key determinant to its prospects. In 2008, LFC generated a considerably increased premium income as a result of promotion of participating products and increased demand for insurance protection. This can be due to increasing awareness of insurance protection after consecutive occurrence of the natural disasters. In addition to the limited negative impacts of the earthquake, combined with a concern about the uncertainly of equity market performance, and we recommend...(you have to subscribe for premium content)
posted on 6/18/2008 1:52:05 PM (Eastern Daylight Time, UTC-04:00)  #    Comments [0] Trackback
 Tuesday, June 17, 2008
Stock markets in the U.S. continued to slug: inflation concerns and high oil kept pressure on equity markets. Tuesday's economic data illustrated how the steep run-up in energy costs this year is affecting businesses. The Labor Department data showed that producer price index jumped 1.4 percent in May, the largest increase since last November. The DJIA shed 108.78 points. The S&P 500 index, a measure of the broader market, fell 9.21 points to 1,350.93, while the Nasdaq composite index fell 17.05, or 0.69 percent, to 2,457.73.
posted on 6/17/2008 9:29:54 PM (Eastern Daylight Time, UTC-04:00)  #    Comments [0] Trackback
 Monday, June 16, 2008
China's largest coal miner by output reported a 13.3% increase in commercial coal production in May 2008 from a year ago. Export of Chinese coal came to a standstill in 2007 as China is struggling to feed its growing electricity demand. Nearly two-thirds of Chinese electricity is generated by unsing coal fired power plans. The winter storm related coal supply shortages just highlightened the problems facing both the cola nad the power generating industry.
posted on 6/16/2008 12:05:09 PM (Eastern Daylight Time, UTC-04:00)  #    Comments [0] Trackback
 Saturday, June 14, 2008
We published a list of chinese stocks last week. The criteria we used was very simple: if 10 DMA was above 30DMA, a stock qualified. The result is not too rosy: stocks on average lost -6.5% between 6/6 - 6/13. Well, it is also noteable that last week was a bloodbath for Chinese stocks not just in the U.S. but worldwide. The Hang Seng Index in hog Kong lost 1,810 points from 24,402.18 points to 22,592.30. This is a 7.4% drop just in one week!
posted on 6/14/2008 11:18:10 AM (Eastern Daylight Time, UTC-04:00)  #    Comments [0] Trackback
 Tuesday, June 10, 2008
As resolved at the annual general meeting of the Company convened on 9 May 2008, it was approved to issue medium-term bonds with a total principal amount of not less than RMB3 billion and not more than RMB10 billion (the “Medium-term Bonds”). Pursuant to the approval granted by the National Association of Financial Market Institutional Investors on 22 May 2008, the Company may issue medium-term bonds with a total principal amount of up to RMB10 billion in the People’s Republic of China by various tranches effective on or before 20 May 2010.
posted on 6/10/2008 3:47:07 PM (Eastern Daylight Time, UTC-04:00)  #    Comments [0] Trackback
Last week we published a study that looked at 10- and 30-day moving averages and their crossing patterns to find momentum stocks. We continue with some technical analysis today by introducing the Overbought/Oversold techincal indicator. The one we use gives investors a gauge of the market in a snapshot by laying down all Chinese ADRs on a single paper. This method makes it very easy to find stocks that are out of their normal trading characteristics; thus offering trading opportunities.
posted on 6/10/2008 9:39:31 AM (Eastern Daylight Time, UTC-04:00)  #    Comments [0] Trackback
 Monday, June 09, 2008
From the annual income statement, Chalco achieved major improvement in revenue, increasing from 37,826.5 million RMB in 2005 to 76,180.4 million in 2007. This significant increase was mainly due to its several acquisitions during 2006 and increasing global commodity price. The acquisitions increased the production capacity dramatically. Total revenue had increased 17.5% from 2006 to 2007. However, as the continuing strong demand from Asian countries especially from China had been pushing the sales price up, the global oil price had increased as well to push up the cost of the industry. Specifically, Chalco’s cost of revenue went up from 43,930.7 million in 2006 to 57,197.5 million in 2007, representing a 30% jump. The significant increase in cost resulted in the net income had dropped 15.6% from 11,726.5 million to 9,899.6 million. In addition, gross profit margin dropping from 32.2% in 2006 to 24.9% in 2007. Also, operating profit margin and net profit margin decreased 7.68% and 5.09% respectively during the period from 2006 to 2007.
posted on 6/9/2008 4:23:49 PM (Eastern Daylight Time, UTC-04:00)  #    Comments [0] Trackback