Chinese ADR trading was not much fun this week. While the S&P 500 dropped 3.4% for the week and is down -18.0% year-to-date (YTD), Chinese shares in Hong Kong are worse; The Hang Seng Index lost 3.3% the week but is down -31.7% YTD. No wonder, Chinese shares lifted in American exchanges suffered, too. The problem is not so much with Asia and with China in particular but with global capital flows. Investors are moving into safe havens abandoning positions in foreign markets- crumbling the value of those shares. China is no exception. And just to illustrate how bad things are, WaMu just went under while rumors that Wachovia is next makes my stomach sick.

Financials led rally yesterday caught Chinese ADRs on fire, too. This week has been rewarding for China stock investors so far. As the following table displays, 38 Chinese ADRs are on the black vs. 8 on the red since last Friday. We are here to find stocks with outstanding momentum, a momentum that can carry on for the rest of the week. To accomplish this ambitious goal, we'll use simple technical indicators, 10-day, 30-day, 50-day , and 200-day moving averages or DMAs.

Chinese stocks had a volatile week: UTS Starcom recorded an impressive 21.1% gain just this week followed by Guangshen Rail (GSH) with a 11.6% jump, China Life Insurance with 9.1% gain and Yanzhou Coal (YZC)'s 9.0% rally. On the negative side Comtech Group (COGO) crashed losing 45.5%. What next week is going to bring us? The following table comes handy while looking for momentum stock. One common measure is looking at daily moving averages or DMAs. Important is the direction of the DMA, it's value relative to the last closing price and finessed investors look for difference between 10-, 30-, 50-, and 200 DMAs. Our method is this: we like stocks that fulfill the following conditions:

We took the risk to say a month ago that “we think Chinese equities are nearing the bottom. Looking at Asia and China in particular, we find both macro and micro economic data to fuel our optimism. “ Since then the China ADR Index (CAI) rallied 7.5% in line with the Hang Seng’s 7.0% comeback, outshining the Shanghai Composite’s modest 3.7% rally. Have Chinese equities bottomed out?

A near 20 percent correction in four weeks has wiped $700 billion off the Shanghai Stock Exchange, making global investors nervous about a possible China meltdown. Considering the 132% run of the Shanghai Composite in 2006 and a subsequent 125 percent run in 2007 before the current pullback, a bubble theory has ample room to develop. The question is this. Is there a bubble and if so how to hedge against that?

China stocks post biggest weekly loss in a decade: China's main stock index closed Friday with a weekly loss of 8 percent, its biggest weekly drop since May 1997. Chinese ADR portfolio was just as bad with no clear indication where the bottom is. Look up from the table below how your Chinese stocks did.

Are Chinese share overvalued? This publication compares the U.S. listed China stock universe with valuation of the DJIA, Hang Seng and Shanghai Composite stocks.

Chinese stocks have risen since the notorious 9 percent intraday plunge in late February. As the matter of fact, the Shanghai Composite (^SSEC) is up almost 25 percent since the incident while the record breaking DJIA barely keeps space with such a sharp rally.

2006 was “The Year” for Chinese stocks. A seemingly unquenchable investor thirst for all things Chinese helped propel the Shanghai Composite Index to a 130% gain for the year, followed closely by the Hang Seng China Enterprise Index.

Investing in Chinese equities is a risky business. But one can ask: how risky? Is there a reliable risk measure geared specifically to investors who navigate in the Chinese stock universe? Our current Newsletter addresses this very important question and will shed light on stocks that are relatively safe and stocks that you should avoid.

Liquidity, or the ability to buy and sell large blocks without effecting the share price, is perhaps the most important factor for institutional investors in choosing where to execute their trades. Looking at the Chinese stock universe from an American investor’s point of view, there are three markets that investors would consider: the NYSE, the NASDAQ and the Hong Kong Stock Exchange. Investing in Shanghai and Shenzen is still limited for foreigners and is further complicated by corporate accounting differences and information asymmetry.

Our previous Newsletter focused on the NASDAQ names of the U.S. listed Chinese stock universe. As we said, this issue will give readers a unique perspective of the NYSE listings. As the following chart shows, we chose the twenty biggest names by revenue from the NYSE universe this time . We will compare them to make a point that not everything that shines is gold. In other words, not all the big liquid names offer investment opportunities just because China is growing fast.

I can’t help but quote from our February Newsletter, page 4 last paragraph. “Based on our latest field trip to China, Chinavestor.com expects The9 Ltd. (NCTY) to report a nice surprise. On the other hand, we did not see much activity of Shanda’s line of products and expect the battled game and home entertainment developer to slip.” End of quote. So when Shanda released earnings after the close on February 27th, disappointing news did not surprise us. China’s top online game operator said it swung to a quarterly loss and missed Wall Street revenue targets as online game sales weakened, sending its shares down 19 percent after hours.

I can’t help but quote from our February Newsletter, page 4 last paragraph. “Based on our latest field trip to China, Chinavestor.com expects The9 Ltd. (NCTY) to report a nice surprise. On the other hand, we did not see much activity of Shanda’s line of products and expect the battled game and home entertainment developer to slip.” End of quote.

Chinavestor noticed when China Mobile (Hong Kong) Ltd. (CHL), the world’s biggest wireless carrier, announced on Dec 13, 2005 that it is seeking to sell shares domestically to complement Hong Kong and New York listings. And again when Aluminum Corp. of China (ACH), the world’s second largest alumina producer, announced plans to take its A-share companies private, paving a way for its own listing in mainland China. The Company will need a total of more than 5.6 billion yuan ($694 million) to buy the shares it does not own in it’s A-share units.

Chinavestor “Stock of the month” ends up 5.2% in 2005 and is up 55.6% since inception, despite the fact that China’s booming economy failed to translate into stock-market gains. Defying rises in oil prices and interest rates, Asia stocks rose as domestic economies picked up and foreign funds sought cheap valuations. But the country level performances were far from uniform with indices in the greater China region at the bottom of the list.

Chinese Companies have come a long way compared to even a year ago. It used to be hard to find relevant information about financials, quarterly reports submitted to the Exchanges on time were the exceptions.

Even though China’s economy continues to boom, to transform that into the green in our own pocket, is a different story. Investors have to remember that not economic growth but corporate earnings are driving stock prices. For the most part, of course. In addition to current earnings, seasoned analysts have to be able to differentiate between high– and low-quality earnings.

On a quiet Wednesday, August 31st, China Telecom (CHA) Corp. Ltd., China’s last major NYSE listed player reported earnings. The market hardly noticed as investors worried about high oil prices and news of a hefty share sale by PetroChina (PTR). For us, however, this quiet day was much more. We can now kick back and get a sense of what is going on in China, in micro level. Because we all know that economic growth doesn’t necessarily translate into steady stock-market gains, and the Chinese market faces numerous challenges, ranging from company scandals and limited corporate disclosure to efforts by the government to sell its large stake in Chinese companies without hurting the share prices.

On a quiet Thursday, July 21st, China scrapped the Yuan's decade-old peg to the U.S. dollar and shifted to an undisclosed basket of currencies to manage the currency. As part of the move, the central bank revalued the Yuan to 8.11 to the dollar, effectively a 2.1% in crease in the Yuan's value.

Most Chinese companies, that are listed in the U.S. stock markets as American Depositary Receipts (ADR), reported 2004 fourth quarter and yearly results so far. To be actual, out of those thirty ADR that are listed either on the NYSE or NASDAQ at present, twenty three reported earnings with mixed results.